Created by Jan Alexandr Kopřiva
OSINT-based report
4IT556 - Open Source Intelligence (in English)
Authors: Jan Alexandr Kopřiva, Matěj Lajtkep, Tomáš Pydych
26-11-2025
The 2022 Ukrainian invasion was not a sudden act of aggression.
The planned culmination of years of information warfare, where Russia — driven by Putin’s KGB-style doctrine — used social media, troll farms, and narrative manipulation to weaken defenses and reshape people’s sense of reality.
OSINT can help us uncover small breadcrumbs of valuable proof information that Putin's regime never wanted us to see.
Exploring such a topic is necessary due to its severe consequences.
Pilipey, R. (2024, únor 24). Image bank of the war in Ukraine. Russia’s War in Ukraine. https://war.ukraine.ua/photos/
RQ2: To what extent did automated or coordinated account networks contribute to the circulation of these narratives on Twitter/X and Telegram?
RQ3: How effective were platform-level interventions on Twitter/X and Telegram in identifying, limiting, or moderating the spread of these narratives?
Narrative Identification (RQ1)
Network/Bot Analysis (RQ2)
Moderation Effectiveness (RQ3)
AI tools (ChatGPT 5.1, Grok 4, Gemini 3, NotebookLM, Cursor, Venice AI) have been used throught all our work to summarize large amounts of data, build scripts, and help with text coherence.
Risa De Putin GIF – Laugh Lol Funny – Objevte a sdílejte GIFy. (b.r.). [Video recording]. Získáno 25. listopad 2025, z https://media1.tenor.com/m/F784zs9y3AUAAAAC/laugh-lol.gif
Which pro-Kremlin narratives dominated Telegram and Twitter/X from February 2022 to February 2023?
Sources: Author's own dataset
To what extent did automated or coordinated account networks contribute to the circulation of these narratives on Twitter/X and Telegram?
Pro-Kremlin narratives spread through coordinated ecosystems, not organic user activity. Telegram relied on large channel constellations (Surf Noise, InfoDefense, Node of Time) that forwarded posts across thousands of channels, while Twitter/X used a mix of state-linked accounts and automated bot clusters exhibiting synchronized posting and shared link patterns.
Sources: Bawa et al. (2025); Kireev et al. (2025); Marigliano et al. (2024)
Sources: Marigliano et al. (2024); Henriksen et al. (2024); Ferrara et al. (2016)
Networks showed clear signs of inauthentic behavior:
Sources: Churanova (2025); Kireev et al. (2025); Vosoughi et al. (2018)
How effective were platform-level interventions on Twitter/X and Telegram in identifying, limiting, or moderating the spread of these narratives?
(*Remember, this was mostly before MUSK!)
Limitations:
Sources: Culliford (2022), McSweeney (2022), Aguerri et al. (2024); Glazunova et al. (2023), Shahi & Mejova (2025)
Sources: Kireev et al. (2025); Churanova (2025), Životić & Obradović (2024), Bawa et al. (2024)
Telegram does not moderate content because of its founder's vision.
Pavel Durov built the platform on a libertarian, anti-censorship philosophy that rejects platform-level control in favor of absolute user freedom.
VnExpress. (b.r.). Billionaire Telegram founder Pavel Durov announces leaving $17B fortune to his over 100 children—VnExpress International. VnExpress International – Latest News, Business, Travel and Analysis from Vietnam. Získáno 25. listopad 2025, z https://e.vnexpress.net/news/tech/personalities/billionaire-telegram-founder-pavel-durov-announces-leaving-17b-fortune-to-his-over-100-children-4904461.html
Russia is known for playing long games. The effects unfold slowly, eroding trust and weakening institutions long before anyone notices; if so, the impact of such a threat cannot be easily measured or countered.
We, democratic societies, remain structurally too open and too slow. We are not yet able to counter coordinated authoritarian influence on a large scale.
1. Stronger platform governance is essential: fast, consistent moderation is the only way to limit viral disinformation before it spreads.
2. Telegram exposed the core threat: unregulated platforms give bad actors a free playground.
3. Building societal education is critical: democracies need better detection, cooperation, and public media literacy to withstand future attacks.
?
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